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Showing posts with label Russia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Russia. Show all posts

Mar 16, 2016

[CA] ExoMars


ExoMars

Europe and Russia recently launched a spacecraft in a joint mission to sniff out signs of life on Mars and bring humans a step closer to flying to the red planet themselves.
·       The craft, part of the ExoMars program, blasted off from the Baikonur spaceport in Kazakhstan on board a Proton rocket, starting a seven-month journey through space.
·       It carries an atmospheric probe that is to study trace gases such as methane.

Why study Methane?
·       Methane is a chemical that on Earth is strongly tied to life. Besides, previous Mars missions have detected traces of methane in the planet’s atmosphere.
·       Scientists believe the methane could stem from micro-organisms, called methanogenes, that either became extinct millions of years ago and left gas frozen below the planet’s surface, or that some methane-producing organisms still survive.
·       Another explanation for the methane in Mars’s atmosphere could be that it is produced by geological phenomena, such as the oxidation of iron.

About ExoMars:
·       The ExoMars 2016 mission, a collaboration between the European Space Agency (ESA) and its Russian equivalent Roscosmos, is the first part of a two-phase exploration aiming to answer questions about the existence of life on Earth’s neighbour.
·       The ExoMars mission will complement the work of Nasa’s Curiosity rover which has spent more than three years on Mars as part of the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) mission.
·       The second part of the ExoMars mission in 2018 will deliver a European rover to the surface of Mars. It will be the first with the ability to both move across the planet’s surface and drill into the ground to collect and analyze samples.

·       The cost of the ExoMars mission to the European Space Agency, including the second part due in 2018, is expected to be about 1.3 billion euros ($1.4 billion). Russia’s contribution comes on top of that.

Dec 3, 2015

[Econ/CA] Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank


Background
·        ADB report: till 2020, every year, countries in Asia need ~$800 billion for infra-structure investment.
·        Asian Development bank (ADB) itself can’t lend more than $10 billion.
·        Bretton woods organisations (IMF and World Bank) not interested in lending such large fund to Asia alone.
·        Therefore, Jinping came up with idea to setup “multilateral development bank” to lend money exclusively to Asia. (2013)

Real Motive of China

Make truckload of profit
China has a huge forex reserve. Wants to make profit out it.
* AIIB’s total authorized Capital: $100 billion. Out of that, China willing to give 50% capital=> bank circulate loan money => bank earns interest=>China gets truckload of dividend for being largest shareholder.
Help in Maritime Silk policy
* AIIB will finance rail-road-ports infrastructure along the ancient silk route.
* Thus, it’ll help China’s maritime Silk policy.
Counter US-Japan dominated IMF+ADB
* IMF not reforming its governance structure. The size of Chinese economy, same as USA. Yet Chinese voting power in IMF = 1/3rd of American voting power.
* In ADBUS + Japan =each has ~16% shareholding, while China has ~7%. Again China resents their domination. (*numbers from Business-standard report).
* Therefore, China wants to counter IMF + ADB’s hegemony (domination) via BRICS+AIIB.
* Countering IMF= will also help to popularize use of Chinese Yuan instead of US dollar.


AIIB Structure


AIIB Membership
·        At first, Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has total 22 members= China + 21 others who signed MoU.
·        Now (June 2015), the countries in AIIB increased to 57
·        Delegates of 50 countries signed the 60-article agreement that will lay the legal framework for the China-initiated Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB).
·        Australia was first to sign the agreement at the Great Hall of the People in the Chinese capital Beijing.
·        Out of the 57 founder-member countries, the remaining seven - Denmark, Kuwait, Malaysia, Philippines, Holland and South Africa and Thailand could not sign the agreement as it was not ratified by their respective domestic authorities.
·        The agreement outlined the financial share of each member, policymaking, business and operational systems and governance structure of the AIIB.
·        Among the Indian neighbouring countries, Afghanistan and Bhutan are not the members of AIIB


·        South Korea and Indonesia which first rejected, later signed
 ·        At first, Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has total 22 members= 21 others who signed MoU + (22) China
·        Now, a total of 57 countries are in AIIB
(1) Australia                         (2) Azerbaijan                      (3) Bangladesh
(4) Brunei                              (5) Cambodia                       (6) China
(7) Georgia                           (8) India                                 (9) Indonesia
(10) Iran                                (11) Israel                              (12) Jordan
(13) Kazakhstan                   (14) Kuwait                          (15) Kyrgyzstan
(16) Laos                               (17) Malaysia                       (18) Maldives
(19) Mongolia                      (20) Myanmar                      (21) Nepal
(22) New Zealand               (23) Oman                            (24) Pakistan
(25) Philippines                   (26) Qatar                             (27) South Korea
(28) Russia                            (29) Saudi Arabia                (30) Singapore
(31) Sri Lanka                      (32) Tajikistan                      (33) Thailand
(34) Turkey                           (35) UAE                              (36) Uzbekistan
(37) Vietnam                        (38) Austria                          (39) Brazil                
(40) Denmark                       (41) Egypt                             (42) Finland             
(43) France                           (44) Germany                       (45) Iceland
(46) Italy                               (47) Luxembourg                 (48) Malta                
(49) The Netherlands          (50) Norway                         (51) Poland              
(52) Portugal                         (53) South Africa                 (54) Spain                 
(55) Sweden                          (56) Switzerland                  (57) UK

            The number of member countries in the bank is expected to increase to about 70, exceeding the 67-member ADB.

Secretary General: Mr. Jin Liqun


HQ: Beijing; 3 – tier structure
Board of Governors
* Highest Decision Making body.
* Voting power according to share holding
* Shareholding according to GDP
Board of Directors  
* Board of Governors, will elect these directors.
* They’ll decide budget and submit reports to Board of Governors
President      
* He is the president of Board of directors.
* Person with long experience and ethical integrity in banking /economics / finance.
* He’ll be selected on “merit”.
* Responsible for Day to day administration, hire and fire staff.
* He can appoint vice President to reduce work load.

·        Oct 2014: at present only MoU is signed. Bank is yet to begin operations.
·        June 2015: legal framework for the China-initiated Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) was signed

Key features of AIIB
• It will have authorized capital of 100 billion US dollars and the initial subscribed capital is expected to be around 50 billion US Dollar. The paid-in ratio will be 20 per cent.
• Asian countries will contribute up to 75 percent of the total capital and be allocated a share of the quota based on their economic size.
• China will contribute 29.78 billion US dollars of the bank's 100 billion US dollars capital base, becoming its largest shareholder with a 30.34 percent stake.
• India will be the second-biggest shareholder at 8.4 percent, followed by Russia, which will have a 6.5 percent stake.
• China, India and Russia will have a voting share of 26.06 percent, 7.5 percent and 5.92 percent, respectively.
• It will start operations by the end of 2015 under two preconditions: At least 10 prospective members sign the agreement, and the initial subscribed capital is no less than 50 percent of the authorized capital.

Will India benefit from AIIB?

Something is better than nothing
* 12th Five year plan says we need $1 trillion dollar investment in infrastructure.
* While Modi is relaxing FDI, promoting “Make in India”, striving for ease of doing business; Modi met Chinese, Japanese and American leaders to invest in India and so on.
* But still, $1 trillion is a huge amount, so whatever few billions dollars we get as ‘soft loan’ from AIIB, BRICS bank or xyz other institution- is good.
We do have voting power
India will be the 2nd largest subscriber to AIIB.
* Besides we have good relations with other Asian countries that are in AIIB but are not “best friends” of China.
* So collectively, we’ll have sufficient voting power in the board, to counter any moves hurting Indian interest.
Africa will benefit
* Since AIIB will loan to Asian countries, it’ll slightly reduce world bank’s pressure to finance Asian projects. Then World bank can divert more funds to Africa.
* African development is also in India’s best interest because:
 - Indian exports will increase
 - Terror networks will weaken
 - Sea-piracy will decrease.
Competition = cheaper loans
* ADB often accused of a “slow-moving bureaucracy”- gives loans too late and with too many strings attached.
China brags that AIIB will have a clean, simplified and efficient bureaucracy.
* October 2014:  World Bank President Jim Yong Kim began internal restructuring, reducing staff salary and perks. It means things are not hunky dory with world bank
* The entry of AIIB will further increase the competition, catalyze the reforms in other Multilateral banks- perhaps they’ll reduce interest rates, EMIs and may even begin telemarketing for “Sovereign loans”!



 India will not benefit from AIIB

America says so
* AIIB’s objectives are ambiguous
* AIIB lacks transparency.
Bogus countries will benefit
* In past, China loaned to countries without good-governance or respect for human rights or functional democracy or environmental safety: Pakistan,Myanmar and many African autocracies to name a few.
* Using AIIB, China will try to legitimize such funding in the name of infrastructure development.
* Counter argument: in past even ADB loans to Cambodia and Laos have been misused, ethnic minorities were displaced for infra-projects. so, AIIB= villain, and ADB + World bank = saints, such stereotyping is wrong.
China doesn’t listen to others
* 2014, July: South Korea proposed- we should setup AIIB Headquarter in Seoul or Songdo- to reduce the fears of US, Japan and Western powers.
* But Jinping rejected the idea and setup HQ in Beijing. This is one of the reasons why South Korea did not come to MoU signing.
China may use the same strong-arm tactics in future as well e.g. AIIBS giving loan to project in PoK and India protests.


  

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Sep 28, 2014

[CA] India's Mangalyaan

Current Affairs
Mangalyaan
Mangalyaan
Synopsis:
(01) Mars planet – basics
(02) How far is Mars from Earth?
(03) Missions to Mars
(04) MoM Vs MAVEN
(05) India’s launch vehicle
(06) Why PSLV for Mars?
(07) MoM – Factoids
(08) Payloads of MoM
(09) Purpose of sending MoM
(10) ISTRAC
(11) Anti – arguments for Mars
(12) Pro – arguments for Mars
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(01) Mars Planet: Basics:
·        Has two moons: Phobos and Deimos
·        4th planet from Sun
·        2nd smallest planet in the Solar system after Mercury.
·        Diameter: ~6800 kms (Mars); Earth (~12700 kms)
·        Volume wise, ~8 Mars would fit inside our Earth.
·        One Martian day: 24 hours 37 minutes
·        One Martian year: 687 days
·        Mars is also tilted on its axis (25 degrees).
·        Mars gravity 1/10th of Earth.
·        When Sun and Mars are in opposite direction, it can be easily observed from Earth.

(02) How far is Mars from Earth?:
·        Shortest: 56 million kms   
·        Farthest: 400 million kms, when both are on opposite sides of solar system.

 (03) Missions to Mars:
Success
Failures
USSR Mars orbiter (70s)   
USSR: Korabl series, Mars 1969 series, Phobos Grunt
USA / NASA
Marine Series (1960s)
Viking Series(1970s)
Pathfinder (1990s)
Rovers: Sprit, Opportunity (2003)
Phoenix (2007)
Curiosity (2011)
MAVEN (2013-14)



USA  Mariner series before mid-60s
European Space Agency (2003) “Beagal lender” (although images lost)
Japan’s Nozomi- failed to enter Mars orbit (1998-2003)
ISRO’s Mars Orbitor Mission (MoM) (2013-14)      


(04) MoM Vs MAVEN:
ISRO’s MoM
NASA’s MAVEN
Mars Orbitor Mission
Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution Mission
Launch Vehicle = PSLV
Launch Vehicle = Atlas V
Launched on: Nov 05, 2013
Launched on: Nov 18, 2013
Reached Mars on Sep 24, 2014
Reached Mars on: Sep 21, 2014
Launched from Sriharikota, Andhra Pradesh
Launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida (USA)
Cost: Rs. 450 crore
Cost: $671 million
Weight: 1350 kg
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Doing 3 studies:
(i) Surface/Geology: using camera and spectrometer
(ii) Particle Environment: using MENCA
(iii) Atmosphere: using Photometer and Methane sensor
Only study Martian (upper) atmosphere
Based on that data, it will give clues about Martian climate, geologic, ad geochemical conditions over time
Will find the answer for, Did Mars ever had suitable environment to support life?
Has 5 instruments/payloads
Has 8 instruments/payloads
-
The spacecraft may also provide communications relay support for future Mars landers and rovers.

(05) India’s launch Vehicle:

PSLV
GSLV
Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle
Geosynchronous Launch Vehicle
Can carry upto 1600 kg satellite
2500kg

(06)Why PSLV for Mars?:
·        ISRO had used PSLV XL (C25) launch vehicle to launch the Mangalyaan (Mars spacecraft).
·        At that time, GSLV tests were not successful. Last time they tried GSLV to launch GSAT-14 satellite and failed because of fuel leak. (Aug 2013)
·        Mangalyaan weighs ~1300 kg. PSLV can easily carry this weight.
·        PSLV is tried and tested technology.

(07) MoM - Factoids:
·        MoM/Mangalyaan: first Indian spacecraft to cross Earth’s escape velocity of 11.2 km per second.
·        Mangalyaan traveled for ~300 days, covering ~65 crore kilometers, and reached Martian orbit in September 2014.
·        Mangalyaan is not the fastest spacecraft to reach Mars. Others are far ahead of it, in terms of speed. For example- European Space Agency’s Mars mission (2003) reached Mars in  ~210 days.
·        MoM cost 7 rupees per kms to reach Mars.

(08) Payloads:



(09) What is the purpose of sending MoM?:
·        To find out composition of Mar’s SAM (Surface – Atmosphere – Minerals), using five payloads/instruments:

Study Mars
Payloads
Detail
Surface
Color Camera
Mars Color Camera
Study Surface, Dust Storms, etc
Take photos of Mar’s satellites: Phobos and Deimos






Atmosphere
MENCA
Mars Exospheric Neutral Composition Analyzer
To study neutral gas atoms in the Martian atmosphere
Methane Sensor
Methane Sensor for Mars (MSM)

If Methane + water detected =possible that at some point of time, Mars had supported life form
Photometer
Lyman Alpha Photometer (LAP)

To measure hydrogen and deuterium (Deuterium: heavier than hydrogen. Water made from heavy hydrogen is heavier and hence it evaporates differently)

Knowing Hydrogen: Deuterium ratio will help answer. How did water vanish from Mars?
Minerals
Spectrometer
Thermal Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (TIS) – to study mineral resources of Mars

(10) ISTRAC:
·        ISRO Telemetry, Tracking & Command Network @Banglore.
·        Previously tracked and commanded Chandrayaan-1
·        Now doing the same for Mars orbiter.

(11) Anti – Arguments for Mars Mission:
·        Crores of rupee wasted- could be used to feed millions of hungry people in India. Millions of children suffering from malnutrition, half the people doesn’t have toilets- Modi himself highlighting this issue in his every speech.
·        Better get those thousands of ISRO scientists and engineers to come up with new technology to fix malnutrition and malnutrition.
·        ISRO’s budget is better spent to meet India’s communication needs and bring down digital divide.
·        Even Airtel has sued ISRO for not meeting its contract obligations. So, ISRO better focus on present rather than doing some mars research whose benefits can materialize may be after 100-200 years.
·        ISRO has installed a fancy methane detector in this spacecraft. But NASA’s curiosity rover data has already concluded that Mars environment doesn’t contain methane. ISRO is only doing donkey labour. Counter argument: NASA’s Curiosity rover measured presence of methane in a small area. But ISRO will scan entire Martian environment to detect Methane.
·        GSLV testing has not giving positive result yet. Had they waited for GSLV testing to finish- Mars Mission could be done in 2016. (Even Chandrayan-2 project is stalled due to this GSLV problem). But it seems ISRO chairman wants media publicity before retiring, so made he all the haste to launch Mars Mission in 2013 using PSLV (instead of GSLV).
·        Less of a scientific pursuit and more of a space race with China- ‘me too’ going on Mars. First India should overtake China in terms of GDP and poverty removal.
·        Britain, Japan, World Bank etc. reduce the donation to India thinking “since India has lot of money of run such Mars adventures, they must have money to take care of their poors as well.”

(12) Pro – arguments for Mars Mission:
#1: cash will be recovered
·        Many countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America are seeing good economic growth. But they lack skilled manpower, technology and budget to setup their own launch vehicles and premier space agencies.
·        But they too need satellites for communication and military. So, they outsource the satellite launch/survey work to established players.
·        ISRO’s commercial Arm ANTRIX makes annual profit of ~100 crore rupees from such ‘outsourced’ contracts.
·        ISRO spent only 450 crore rupees. NASA has spent billions of dollars on Mars.  This Makes ISRO world-famous as a prudent cost saving space agency= more clients via its commercial arm ANTRIX = more money incoming.
·        So, we can see this Mars mission as ISRO’s 450 crore rupees advertisement / PR campaign- to impress those potential ‘clients’ and get more contracts=> money will be recovered and profit will be made.
#2: Did not steal from Poor’s month
·        Government spends barely ~0.35% of budget on space programs. And even out of that ~0.35% allocation, ISRO spent only 8% on Mars Missions. There are plenty of government schemes with way bigger budgetary allotments for poor people. So it’s not like government stopped/reduced expenditure on some xyz scheme for poors to fund ISRO’s Mars adventure.
·        Agreed, poverty should be removed, and everyone must get food security. But the proposed food security bill will need ~1-2 lakh crores rupees every year.
·        Even If ISRO didn’t spend 450 crores on Mars, the money thus saved- won’t make a big contribution to food security anyways.
#3: Making History
·        Until now, only three agencies had succeeded in Mars Mission
·        European Space Agency (ESA) of European consortium,
·        National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) of the US
·        Roscosmos of Russia
·        And ISRO became the fourth one.
·        Even USA, Japan and China failed to reach mars in their first attempt.
·        Overall, 51 missions made so far, only 21 have succeeded.
·        ISRO’s Mars mission succeeded in its first attempt (that too without coaching), hence it’s a milestone in the history of space explorations.
·        Even China has applauded this event as “pride of Asia”.
#4: Misc.
·        Will attract talented desi scientist/engineers to join ISRO. Thus, brain drain will decline.
·        Data gathered from ISRO’s mission, can be used to send manned mission (astronauts) on Mars later, with collaboration of NASA etc.
·        The technology used in this mission has potential application in weather forecast, computer tech, health-medicine etc. in future.
·        Space research is not waste of time. 1990 Odisha cyclone killed >10000 people. But 2013 cyclone Phalin killed very few, because Indian satellite gave accurate weather prediction about where and when the storm would hit. Space research has given immense benefits to Agriculture, education, fisheries and defense. (Counter argument: then send more weather/education satellites- not spacecraft’s to Moon and Mars!)
·        Humanity would not have progressed, if we had not taken such leaps into the unknown. And space is indeed the biggest unknown out there.
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